The Cronian Incident: Development of AI

envisioning_AIHey folks, in my ongoing drive to keep people abreast of my writing process, I have decided to do another update on my progress with The Jovian Incident. I am now six chapters in, and the word count has grown to a robust 13821. By this measure, I am 26,179 words away from a full-length novel. But as John Cleese once said, “It’s not just the number of words. I mean, getting them in the right order is just as important.”

And so is developing certain ideas, especially ones that serve an important function – like creating the background. And a big thing in this story, given the time period, is the presence of artificial intelligence.

The way I figured it, the best way to figure out how it would be used by the time period in question (22nd century) would be track its progress, going from today to the point of the Technological Singularity – where it would become compatible with human-level intelligence, and then vastly exceed it. Here’s a basic breakdown that I came up with:

Level I: Insect-level compatibility, developed in the late 20th/early 21st century. Used to program nanomachines and swarm-robots, controlled via hive-mind algorithms and collective behavior to achieve group tasks (i.e. construction, maintenance, health and diagnostic medicine).

Level II: Reptile and mammalian-level compatibility, developed in the early 21st century. Used by semi-sentient robots to perform rote tasks, menial labor, and as programming for military hardware (i.e. drones and autonomous vehicles).

Level III: Human-level compatibility, developed by the 2030s. Used to program sentient machines and personal assistants capable of performing complicated task, mathematical calculations, and interacting with human beings.

Level IV: Super-sentience level compatibility, developed by 2100.  Used to coordinate entire planetary systems – transportation, economics, virology and geological systems. Only a few in existence – Acidalia (Venus), Gaia (Earth), Harmonia (Mars).

Basically, I envision AI by the 22nd century as being something that is used at all levels of life and society. And after a century of development, the four-tier system described above applies, with simple to incredibly complex machine intelligences being used for different tasks. In this way, machines of various intelligence replaced the old division of labor, leaving humans free to pursue vocations and careers entirely of their own choosing.

Of course, this has a huge downside. Not only has humanity labor in the inner Solar System been deprived of most forms of labor (it can be a source of pride and dignity as much as a burden) but it also means that all human beings are expected to commit to various pursuits and join a faction of one sort or another before long. Life, you could say, has become no less competitive or careerist by adding intelligence machines to the mix.

And of course, life is a bit different in the outer Solar System. Whereas Level I and II intelligences are common, Level IIIs are in limited supply (and generally dated where they are available), and there are no Level IVs.

But of course, that doesn’t even include the kinds of neurological and cybernetic enhancements that humans use to augment their neurology and their biology. That’s where the transhuman and post-human stuff comes in. But that, of course, is a whole ‘nuther post!



9 thoughts on “The Cronian Incident: Development of AI

  1. I made some sort of time line for my story “Der Kampf” even so it was a real pain XD so many considerations even with Moore’s law a prediction for the next hundred years took quite some time. To choose the ones to be revelant was funny too… I remember when I started to develop the background sketch the first conflict showed up: Humans have mastered biology to such levels that they can create up to living ships… humans forming some sort of symbiotic life… or would it be more believable some sort of technological development… quite some simple lines of thought back then XD A big personal concern to me was how many of this do I need do understand to write a good story that matches… I have finished the story with 552,000 words XD around 50,000 had been planned XD

    1. Well, at a certain point, you just to say “fuck it, I only need to be accurate to a point” and let the necessities of the plot and the characters guide you. I have found trying to be perfectly accurate can really slow you down when you are trying to write decent science fiction 😉

      1. Good for you!
        I’ve just finished my second novel. It will be out soon and I’m well into the third book of my trilogy.
        I’m in the big time now. ;0)

  2. Have you noticed that the media is finally catching up to the AI issue? I’m beginning to notice a little more noise about it finally. And, some TV series are starting to have episodes where it’s the subject matter, although, if’s pretty vague and elementary. But, it’s a start.

    1. I have noticed, actually. And it is about time, considering we’ve got.. what… a few decades tops before it becomes a reality? We need laws in place, preferably of the Asimov variety! 🙂

      1. Well, I don’t know about putting laws in place in time for this. You know how it is. The wheels of justice turn slower than an amoeba’s pace. Then, there are the politicians in their peacock parades, strutting about, preening, and admiring themselves…..

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